Test your organization under different climate scenarios

Identifying risks alone does not show how an organization may perform under changing climate and transition conditions. Scenario analysis helps assess how different futures could affect assets, operations, strategy, revenues, and business models.

We help organizations evaluate resilience across different climate scenarios and time horizons. The results support risk management, strategy development, transition planning, and prioritization of adaptive and transformational actions.

Who is it for?

This service is designed for organizations that:

• have already identified climate risks and want deeper analysis;
• wish to test the resilience of their strategy or business model;
• are developing transition plans;
• manage physical assets exposed to climate risks;
• need to understand impacts of regulatory, technological, and market shifts;
• want to integrate climate scenarios into investment and risk-management processes.

Scope of support

• defining objectives and scope of scenario analysis;
• selecting appropriate climate scenarios;
• defining time horizons;
• selecting key assumptions and variables;
• analysis of physical risks under different scenarios;
• analysis of transition risks;
• assessment of impacts on business models, operations, assets, and value chains;
• resilience assessment of existing adaptation mechanisms;
• identification of vulnerabilities and dependencies;
• resilience testing of strategy and business assumptions;
• development of recommendations.

Project outcomes

The organization receives:

• description of selected scenarios and assumptions;
• mapping between scenarios and organizational risks;
• assessment of impacts on operations and business models;
• identification of vulnerable areas;
• resilience assessment;
• adaptation and transformation recommendations;
• identification of required future analyses;
• support for transition planning, risk management, governance and reporting.

The Synergist approach

We tailor scenarios and analysis depth to business objectives. The focus is not on describing the future but on identifying decisions that organizations should consider based on the results.

Experience

Our experience includes climate risk scenario analysis for international industrial organizations and financial institutions across multiple time horizons.